Where to look to for future returns?
The recent surge in index returns has been driven by the soaring share prices of a few mega-cap high-profile stocks, primarily due to the artificial intelligence (AI) thematic. Investors in broad-based indices face heightened concentration risk. However, there are options and areas of value in equities and in other asset classes that offer a higher expected return, at similar or lower levels of risk.
Carry carries risk
The first week of August was quite the moment in markets, exacerbated by overstretched positions in “short volatility”, “carry”, and “picking up pennies in front of a steam roller” type investments. These trades, characterized by frequent small gains but the potential for significant losses, were exemplified by the unravelling of the Yen FX carry trade.