The US equity market rally extended in Q2, as did much of the world, but Australia, small companies, Value equities, and Japan lagged.
US Mega-cap companies, excluding Tesla, rose but this rally was driven more by a valuation increase than earnings, posing a risk to markets if earnings miss expectations or if there’s a downturn in US GDP.
Opportunities exist within both the US and global undervalued equity markets, we shifted our portfolios to take advantage of the undervalued Quality small caps, Asia, EM, and the UK.
We still think there will be a cyclical rebound, but there are some low probability risks that we are positioning portfolios for, just in case. These risks include a growth shock, inflation shock, and market correction.